Earth

Foundation Model

Unifying weather & climate forecasting with meter-scale precision for actionable insights

Data-Driven AI-Powered Actionable Solutions

Current forecasting solutions fail to deliver actionable, mid-to-long-term insights, leaving a gap between short-term predictions and long-term climate projections.

Errors from "averaging out" and lack of granularity make them unreliable for industries like aviation, energy, and agriculture, where precise, localized forecasts drive critical decisions. This inefficiency leads to missed opportunities, unmitigated risks, and billions in preventable losses annually.

Decoding Earth's Atmosphere

The Ultimate Forecasting Frontier

Weather forecasting aims to map past and current atmospheric observations to future states given location and time. Due to the atmosphere's chaotic nature, minor measurement errors or model imprecisions can lead to significant forecast deviations, especially over more extended periods. This inherent challenge has resulted in insufficient forecast performance, causing significant losses in weather-intensive sectors such as aviation, logistics, and agriculture.

Numerical models in meteorology are mathematical representations of atmospheric processes, typically expressed as systems of partial differential equations. These models are solved using discretization methods, which approximate continuous variables on a finite grid in space and time. Numerical methods then iteratively refine the solution, progressively minimizing errors and approximating the atmospheric state at future time steps.


Numerical weather prediction is like solving a maze blindfolded. You start with a rough map (initial conditions) and take small steps (iterations), feeling the walls around you (discretized equations) to guide each move. With each step, you update your understanding of the maze (refine the forecast), gradually working toward the exit (future weather state). The more steps you take, the more accurate your path becomes, just as more numerical iteration leads to more refined weather predictions.

From Equations to Forecasts

The Legacy of Numerical Meteorology

The Computational Barrier

Weather Waits
for No One

Numerical weather prediction struggles with accuracy and efficiency as forecast horizons extend and resolution increases. Atmospheric chaos causes exponential error growth, especially for small-scale phenomena like turbulence and clouds. Increasing resolution incurs a computational cost scaling worse than quadratic growth, around O(N^3) ~ O(N^4), limiting the ability to resolve fine-scale processes crucial for accurate long-term forecasts.


Imagine solving a maze where walls subtly shift as you progress (chaotic dynamics), and tiny missteps lead to wildly different paths (error growth). Intricate passages (turbulence, clouds) force broader guesses. Creating a more detailed map (higher resolution) exponentially increases exploration time, as each step requires checking an ever-expanding area. This makes navigating the maze (weather prediction) increasingly difficult and computationally expensive as you seek higher precision and longer forecast times.

Neural networks, as universal function approximators, excel at mimicking chaotic processes like atmospheric patterns. Their ability to capture complex, nonlinear relationships makes them ideal for meteorological modeling. Unlike traditional numerical methods, neural networks require minimal refinement during inference, with complexity scaling from O(N) to O(N^2), enabling unprecedented, efficient high-resolution forecasts. MeteoAI advances this approach by integrating neural networks with physics-informed methods, incorporating domain knowledge to enhance prediction accuracy and physical consistency.


Imagine neural networks as a wise owl soaring above the weather maze. Unlike ground-based solvers, the owl isn't directly constrained by the maze's walls. Instead, it observes countless mazes (weather data), gradually discerning patterns and becoming a master navigator. MeteoAI, more akin to a mystical seer, combines the owl's aerial perspective with ground-level insights. It dispatches scouts (Physics-Informed Methods) to gather tangible information from within the maze, merging this grounded knowledge with the owl's pattern recognition.

MeteoAI Path Forward

Harnessing
Neural Networks as Nature's Mimics